Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.186421 0.214402 0.246313 0.285644 0.333156 0.389126 0.460686
2025-06-01 0.141220 0.176384 0.220962 0.282650 0.367472 0.482568 0.655179
2025-06-08 0.114015 0.150926 0.201414 0.277602 0.393513 0.570137 0.874446
2025-06-15 0.099538 0.138109 0.194273 0.285489 0.437175 0.694231 1.200654
2025-06-22 0.085984 0.123603 0.181056 0.279886 0.456444 0.783431 1.507959
2025-06-29 0.077336 0.114755 0.174422 0.282665 0.489651 0.907853 1.953198
2025-07-06 0.069362 0.105627 0.165554 0.279244 0.509765 1.012938 2.419490
2025-07-13 0.064262 0.100378 0.162196 0.284865 0.549013 1.174645 3.153459
2025-07-20 0.060103 0.096100 0.159758 0.291548 0.592268 1.364660 4.142766
2025-07-27 0.056433 0.092170 0.157288 0.297531 0.635668 1.575906 5.435456
2025-08-03 0.053476 0.089131 0.155997 0.305666 0.686900 1.836893 7.281371
2025-08-10 0.050293 0.085296 0.152590 0.308382 0.725111 2.079599 9.439532
2025-08-17 0.047211 0.081393 0.148676 0.309577 0.761081 2.342975 12.289664
2025-08-24 0.044166 0.077264 0.143801 0.307655 0.788168 2.595467 15.740470
2025-08-31 0.041180 0.072954 0.138015 0.302417 0.803869 2.816298 19.656942
2025-09-07 0.039600 0.071292 0.137728 0.311306 0.868881 3.311910 28.333100
2025-09-14 0.037075 0.067463 0.132172 0.305092 0.880621 3.563171 35.537211
2025-09-21 0.035423 0.065293 0.130119 0.308196 0.927584 4.051061 49.789916
2025-09-28 0.033476 0.062331 0.125899 0.304387 0.947659 4.410003 65.261899
2025-10-05 0.032300 0.060911 0.125151 0.310650 1.010741 5.121110 99.106839
2025-10-12 0.031270 0.059716 0.124800 0.318101 1.082812 6.003638 158.812060
2025-10-19 0.030264 0.058485 0.124217 0.324775 1.155414 7.017037 263.710577
2025-10-26 0.029436 0.057581 0.124349 0.333856 1.244653 8.354831 485.719403